Screening
Screening is the financial equivalent of panning for gold. It’s a method used by investors to filter the entire universe of thousands of publicly traded companies down to a small, manageable list of potential investment candidates. Think of it as setting up a net with specific-sized holes; you're trying to catch the fish you want while letting all the others swim by. This process is typically done using an online tool called a stock screener, which allows you to set specific criteria based on metrics you care about. For a value investing practitioner, this isn't about chasing hot trends. Instead, screening is the first, crucial step in a disciplined search for wonderful companies trading at fair prices. It’s how you systematically sift through the market noise to find potential bargains that warrant a closer look and deeper due diligence.
The Screening Process in a Nutshell
The beauty of screening lies in its simplicity. It’s a powerful way to impose order on a chaotic market. The process generally involves three steps:
- Define Your Criteria: First, you decide what makes a “good” company in your eyes. Are you looking for cheap stocks, financially strong companies, or profitable businesses? You translate these qualities into specific, quantifiable metrics.
- Use a Tool: Next, you plug these criteria into a stock screening tool. Many online financial portals (like Yahoo! Finance or Finviz) and most brokerage platforms offer free and powerful screeners.
- Analyze the Results: The screener will instantly generate a list of companies that meet all your specified conditions. This is your list of potential ideas, ready for the next stage of research.
Common Screening Criteria for Value Investors
While you can screen for almost anything, value investors tend to focus on criteria that point to financially sound, undervalued businesses. Here are some of the classics:
Valuation Ratios
These metrics help you gauge whether a stock is cheap or expensive relative to its earnings, assets, or sales. The goal is to find stocks trading for less than their intrinsic worth.
- Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E): A low P/E ratio (e.g., under 15) can suggest the market is undervaluing the company's earnings.
- Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B): Compares a company's market price to its book value. A P/B ratio below 1.5, or even better, below 1, was a classic hunting ground for Benjamin Graham.
- Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S): Useful for companies that are temporarily unprofitable or in cyclical industries. A low P/S can signal an undervalued stock relative to its revenue generation.
- Dividend Yield: For income-focused investors, this screen identifies companies that pay a relatively high dividend compared to their stock price. A consistently high yield can also be a sign of an unloved, and therefore potentially undervalued, stock.
Financial Health
A cheap company loaded with debt is a trap, not a bargain. These metrics help you find businesses that are built to last.
- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: This shows how much debt a company uses to finance its assets relative to its equity. A low ratio (e.g., under 0.5) is generally preferred, as it indicates a stronger balance sheet.
- Current Ratio: Calculated as current assets / current liabilities, this measures a company's ability to pay its short-term bills. A ratio above 1.5 or 2 suggests good liquidity.
Profitability and Quality
A cheap, stable company is good, but a cheap, stable, and profitable company is even better. These metrics help identify quality businesses.
- Return on Equity (ROE): This measures how effectively management is using shareholder money to generate profits. A consistent ROE above 15% often indicates a high-quality business with a potential economic moat.
- Net Profit Margin: This reveals what percentage of revenue is left over as pure profit. High and stable profit margins are a sign of competitive strength.
The Art and Science of Screening
The Peril of Being Too Picky
While it's tempting to set very strict criteria to find the “perfect” company, this can be counterproductive. Over-screening can filter out excellent opportunities. For example, a great company might be making a large, temporary investment that depresses its short-term earnings (giving it a high P/E) but sets it up for future dominance. Always be willing to investigate why a company fails a particular screen. Sometimes the story behind the numbers is more important than the numbers themselves.
Screening Is Just the Start
Important: A list of stocks from a screener is not a buy list. It's a list of ideas that require further homework. Screening tells you “what” but not “why.” It can identify a company with a low P/E ratio, but it can't tell you if that's because the market is foolishly pessimistic or because the company is about to go bankrupt. After screening, your real work begins: reading annual reports, understanding the business model, evaluating the management team, and assessing the durability of its competitive advantages. Screening finds the rocks; due diligence is about looking under them.