Physical Delivery
Physical delivery is the process at the heart of many derivatives contracts where the actual underlying asset is physically transferred from the seller to the buyer upon the contract's expiration. Think of it as the final handshake that settles the deal. While many traders in markets like commodities simply trade the paper contracts back and forth for profit, the ultimate possibility of someone demanding the real goods—be it barrels of oil, bushels of corn, or bars of gold—is what keeps the entire system grounded in reality. This method stands in contrast to cash settlement, where only the net profit or loss is exchanged in cash, and no physical asset ever changes hands. For most speculators, physical delivery is something to be avoided at all costs, as they have no interest in suddenly owning a warehouse full of soybeans. However, for commercial producers and consumers, it's the fundamental purpose of using these markets to lock in prices for goods they actually need or produce.
How Does It Actually Work?
Imagine you've bought a futures contract for 1,000 barrels of crude oil. You are now 'long' the contract. If you hold this contract until its expiration date, you are legally obligated to take possession of 1,000 barrels of oil. The seller, who is 'short' the contract, is obligated to provide them. But where does this happen? It's not like a delivery truck will just show up at your house. Major exchanges like the CME Group or the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) have highly regulated and standardized procedures. They designate specific warehouses or delivery points where the transfer must occur. These exchanges also guarantee the quality and quantity of the commodity, ensuring the buyer gets exactly what they paid for. Most retail investors and speculators close out or sell their positions before the contract expires precisely to avoid this logistical headache. In essence, they are trading the claim on the commodity, not the commodity itself. The vast majority of futures contracts are settled this way, but the mechanism for physical delivery must exist to give the contract its value.
Why It Matters to a Value Investor
Even if you never plan to take delivery of a single ounce of gold, the concept of physical delivery is crucial for understanding market integrity and finding value.
Anchoring to Reality
The mere possibility of physical delivery acts as an anchor, tethering the price of a derivative to the real-world spot price of the underlying asset. If the futures price drifted too far from the price of the actual commodity, savvy traders would swoop in to exploit the difference through arbitrage. For example, if oil futures were trading far below the price of physical oil, a company could buy the cheap futures contract, take delivery, and immediately sell the physical oil for a risk-free profit. This activity forces the prices back in line. For a value investor, this link is critical because it ensures that futures prices reflect, to a large extent, the fundamental forces of supply and demand, not just wild speculation.
A Window into the Real Economy
The logistics of physical delivery provide valuable clues about the health of the economy. The difference between the futures price and the spot price often reflects the cost of carry—the expense of storing the physical commodity. A classic example occurred in April 2020, when oil futures prices famously plunged into negative territory. So much oil was being produced with so little demand (due to global lockdowns) that storage tanks were nearly full. Sellers of futures contracts were willing to pay buyers to take the oil off their hands because they had nowhere to put it. This extreme event, driven by the real-world logistics of physical delivery and storage, was a dramatic signal of a severe economic shock.
Physical Delivery vs. Cash Settlement
Understanding the difference between these two settlement methods is key to understanding how different financial markets operate.
The Key Difference
- Physical Delivery: The grand finale involves the exchange of the actual, tangible goods specified in the contract. The buyer gets the stuff, and the seller has to deliver it.
- Cash Settlement: This is a purely financial transaction. The contract is closed out by a cash payment reflecting the difference between the contract price and the asset's market price at expiration. No goods are ever exchanged.
When is Each Used?
- Physical Delivery is the standard for derivatives on storable physical assets.
- Examples: Agricultural products (wheat, corn, coffee), energy (crude oil, natural gas), and metals (gold, silver, copper).
- Cash Settlement is used when physical delivery is impractical or impossible.
- Examples: Stock market index futures (you can't deliver the S&P 500), interest rate futures, and volatility index futures. You can't exactly fill a silo with “market volatility.”