Phil Fisher
Philip A. Fisher (1907-2004) was a legendary American investor and one of the founding fathers of growth investing. His ideas, primarily laid out in his classic 1958 book, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, challenged the conventional wisdom of his time and have since become a cornerstone of modern investment philosophy. Fisher believed that the most spectacular returns don't come from trading in and out of average stocks, but from identifying and buying a concentrated portfolio of truly outstanding companies and holding them for the very long term—often for decades. He argued that focusing on a company's qualitative strengths, such as its management quality, competitive advantages, and industry leadership, was far more important than poring over short-term market statistics. His work deeply influenced many of the world's greatest investors, most notably Warren Buffett, who famously integrated Fisher's qualitative approach with the quantitative framework of his mentor, Benjamin Graham.
The Scuttlebutt Method: Fisher's Secret Sauce
At the heart of Fisher's strategy was his “scuttlebutt” or “grapevine” approach. He believed that the most valuable information about a company couldn't be found in its annual report. To truly understand a business, you had to become an investigative journalist. The Scuttlebutt Method involves talking to everyone connected to the company to get the real story. This means seeking out conversations with:
- Competitors, to learn about the company's weaknesses.
- Customers, to understand why they buy the company's products.
- Suppliers, to gauge the company's operational efficiency and relationships.
- Former employees, for an unfiltered view of the corporate culture and management.
- Academics and industry experts, for a big-picture view of the company's future.
The goal of scuttlebutt is to uncover a company's durable competitive advantages—its moat—and to assess the character and competence of its management. It's about finding out if the company is merely good, or if it's truly exceptional.
The 15 Points to Look for in a Common Stock
In Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, Fisher outlined a 15-point checklist to help investors identify these exceptional companies. This isn't a rigid formula, but rather a qualitative framework for thinking about a business. The points can be grouped into a few key areas:
Business Characteristics
Fisher looked for companies with products or services that have a large potential market and a management team determined to capture it. Crucially, the company must have characteristics that make it difficult for new entrants to compete. Is its sales organization both effective and efficient? Does it have a strong brand and loyal customers? These questions get to the heart of the business's long-term viability.
Management Quality
For Fisher, management was paramount. He sought leaders with unquestionable integrity, a long-range outlook, and a willingness to communicate openly with shareholders, especially during tough times. A great management team doesn't just run the business well today; it has a clear plan for sustainable growth far into the future. They also foster a positive work environment and develop depth in their management ranks.
Financial Strength
While his focus was qualitative, Fisher didn't ignore the numbers. He insisted on finding companies with outstanding profit margins. High margins are a clear sign of a strong competitive position. He also placed immense emphasis on a company's commitment to research and development (R&D). A company that continuously innovates is one that is building its future, not just milking its past successes. This combination of high profitability and a focus on the future is a hallmark of a Fisher-style investment.
When to Buy and When to Sell
Fisher’s advice on buying and selling is refreshingly simple and runs counter to the hyperactive trading seen today.
When to Buy
Fisher wasn't a strict value investor looking for “cigar-butt” companies at bargain-basement prices. He was a pioneer of the “growth at a reasonable price” (GARP) school of thought. He believed that if you found a truly outstanding company, it was a mistake to wait for a perfect, rock-bottom price that might never come. The best time to buy is after you have completed your scuttlebutt and are confident in the company's long-term prospects.
When to Sell
This is perhaps Fisher’s most famous and challenging advice. Once you buy an exceptional company, he argued there are only three valid reasons to ever sell it:
- You made a mistake. Your initial analysis was flawed, and the company was never the high-quality business you thought it was.
- The company has deteriorated. The business has fundamentally changed for the worse. It may have lost its competitive edge, the quality of management has declined, or it can no longer grow its market.
- You've found a significantly better opportunity. This reason should be used with extreme caution, as it can lead to excessive trading.
Notice what's missing: Never sell a great company just because its stock price has gone up a lot or because you fear a market downturn. Fisher taught that doing so is how you miss out on the incredible, multi-generational wealth creation that “uncommon stocks” can provide.
Fisher's Legacy and Relevance Today
Phil Fisher's legacy is immense. He transformed investment thinking by proving that a deep, qualitative understanding of a business is the true path to superior returns. Warren Buffett's evolution from a purely Graham-style investor to one who pays a fair price for a wonderful company is a direct result of Fisher's influence. As Buffett has said, he is “85% Graham and 15% Fisher.” In today's world of non-stop news and algorithmic trading, Fisher's scuttlebutt approach is more valuable than ever. It forces investors to slow down, ignore the noise, and focus on what really matters: the underlying quality of the business. He reminded us that a stock is not a blinking ticker on a screen; it is a piece of ownership in a living, breathing enterprise. Understanding that enterprise is the key to uncommon profits.