SVB (Silicon Valley Bank)
SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) was a prominent American commercial bank, founded in 1983, that became synonymous with the tech industry. For decades, it served as the financial backbone for the venture capital (VC) community and the startups they funded, creating a niche but massive business. In March 2023, it collapsed spectacularly in less than 48 hours, marking the second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and triggering a brief but intense crisis in the regional banking sector. The collapse was caused by a classic bank run, but its roots lay in fundamental mismanagement of interest rate risk. The bank had invested its massive, short-term deposit base—largely uninsured funds from tech companies—into long-term government bonds. When interest rates soared, the value of these bonds plummeted, creating a huge hole in its balance sheet. Once its highly concentrated and digitally-connected depositors caught wind of the trouble, they pulled their money out en masse, sealing the bank's fate.
The Rise and Fall of a Tech Darling
The story of SVB is a cautionary tale of what happens when rapid growth, poor risk management, and herd mentality collide. It offers invaluable lessons for investors about the hidden dangers in even the most celebrated companies.
A Bank Built on Hype and Easy Money
SVB’s business model was brilliantly simple and, for a time, wildly successful. It catered almost exclusively to the tech world. When a startup received millions in VC funding, it would park that cash at SVB. During the era of near-zero interest rates following the 2008 financial crisis, the tech sector was flooded with cash, and SVB's deposits exploded, growing from about $60 billion in early 2020 to nearly $200 billion by the end of 2021. This, however, created two fatal flaws:
- Extreme Customer Concentration: Its entire business depended on the health and sentiment of a single, volatile industry.
- Massive Uninsured Deposits: Most of its clients were businesses with balances far exceeding the standard $250,000 FDIC insurance limit. Over 90% of SVB's deposits were uninsured, making its depositors exceptionally nervous and quick to flee at the first sign of trouble.
The Unraveling: A Textbook Case of Mismanagement
SVB's management made a catastrophic error. They took the huge influx of short-term deposits from startups (which could be withdrawn at any moment) and locked them up in long-term assets, primarily U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Then, two things happened at once:
- Rates Went Up: The Federal Reserve began aggressively hiking interest rates in 2022 to fight inflation. This crushed the market value of SVB's existing, low-yield bonds. This is a core principle of bond duration: when new bonds are issued with higher yields, older bonds with lower yields become less valuable. SVB was sitting on billions in unrealized losses.
- Deposits Went Out: The tech boom cooled off. Startups stopped raising massive new rounds and started burning through their cash to fund operations, leading to steady withdrawals from SVB.
The tipping point came on March 8, 2023. To meet withdrawal demands, SVB was forced to sell a portion of its bond portfolio, turning its paper losses into a very real $1.8 billion loss. It simultaneously announced it needed to raise fresh capital. This public admission of weakness was blood in the water. Influential VCs advised their portfolio companies to pull their money immediately. The ensuing panic was a digital bank run—on March 9, customers attempted to withdraw an astonishing $42 billion in a single day. The bank was insolvent, and regulators seized it the next morning.
Lessons for the Value Investor
The SVB debacle is more than just a dramatic headline; it’s a masterclass in risk analysis for the prudent investor.
"Circle of Competence" Applies to Banks Too
Warren Buffett famously advises investors to stay within their circle of competence. Banks are notoriously opaque and difficult to analyze. Unlike a company making cars or software, a bank’s balance sheet is a complex web of financial instruments. Understanding the difference between assets classified as held-to-maturity (which allowed SVB to hide its bond losses for a time) and available-for-sale is not a simple task. The SVB saga is a stark reminder that if you cannot confidently assess the risks on a bank's balance sheet, it's probably best to stay away.
Beware of Concentration and Groupthink
SVB’s downfall was a direct result of its extreme concentration risk. Its fate was inextricably linked to the fortunes and whims of the tech industry. When panic hit, it spread instantly through the tight-knit community of VCs and founders—a perfect storm of “groupthink.” For investors, the lesson is clear: diversification matters. Look beyond just the stock tickers in your portfolio. Do your holdings have a shared, hidden vulnerability? Are they all dependent on low interest rates, a strong consumer, or the health of a single industry?
Regulation is Not an Investment Strategy
In the end, U.S. regulators, fearing systemic contagion, took the extraordinary step of guaranteeing all of SVB's deposits, even those above the $250,000 FDIC limit. This protected the depositors but sparked a fierce debate about moral hazard—the idea that bailing people out encourages reckless behavior in the future. Most importantly for investors, this bailout did not save them. SVB’s shareholders were completely wiped out, and certain bondholders also suffered major losses. Never make an investment assuming the government will step in to protect you from a company's poor decisions. The ultimate responsibility for protecting your capital rests with you.